Saturday, August 13, 2005

Post on a RealGM article on Kwame

I wrote this in a thread about how a RealGM article on Kwame Brown. The article said that the reason Kwame did poorly last season was that he didn't get enough shots and that the more shots Kwame got, the better he played.

A high number of shots for Kwame is correlated with a high number of rebounds and a good shooting percentage. However, CORRELATION DOESN"T EQUAL CAUSATION!!

Swimming deaths go up when the amount sold from ice cream trucks goes up. Does that mean that sales from ice cream trucks causing swimming deaths? No! In this case, it means increases in both are driven by the same thing, high outside temperatures and kids home for summer vacation.

Kwame is an inconsistant player. When he is playing well, he plays more minutes (which leads to more shots), gets more offensive rebounds (which leads to more shots and a higher shooting percentage) and defensive rebounds and shoots a better percentage. When he isn't playing well, he plays less minutes, takes less shots, gets less rebounds and shows a worse percentage. Saying that giving Kwame more shots will result in better play is like saying that having more ice cream trucks will cause more swimming deaths.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home